Thursday 29 February 2024

Did the sprint points and fastest lap points make a difference in Formula 1 in 2023?

I’m updating my analysis of whether the fastest lap points make any difference (last year’s analysis is here - https://fulltimesportsfan.wordpress.com/2023/03/15/formula-1-did-the-fastest-lap-and-sprint-points-make-any-difference-in-2022/). I expect that the one point on offer will continue to make no difference, especially now there’s so many sprint races and they have so many more points available.

2023 Fastest Laps     Fastest-Laps-2023 
8 different drivers and 5 different constructors won fastest lap points which is higher than the average (averages being 7 and 4 respectively).

Constructors' standings with and without fastest lap points Constructors-Fastest-Laps Removing the fastest lap points makes no change in the Constructors Title 

How about in the Drivers's championship? 

Drivers Championship standings with and without the fastest lap points  Drivers-Fastest-Laps Okay, so it swaps Leclerc and Alonso, but other than making me happy, it doesn’t change any of the important places. 

That means if we put together 2023’s results with the calculated total points if there had been fastest laps from 2009-2018, and the actual results in 2019, 2020, (https://fulltimesportsfan.wordpress.com/2021/01/23/f1-fastest-lap-points-full-of-speed-and-fury-signifying-nothing/), 2021 (https://fulltimesportsfan.wordpress.com/2022/03/19/formula-1-did-the-fastest-lap-points-make-any-difference-in-2021/), and 2022 (https://fulltimesportsfan.wordpress.com/2023/03/15/formula-1-did-the-fastest-lap-and-sprint-points-make-any-difference-in-2022/), 0 constructors results out of 159 have been affected by fastest lap points. 

In the drivers’ championship, the number of results affected is 13/349 (3.72% of all results), and none of those are in the top 3 of any given year. 

Let’s look at the sprint races, which I expect to have a greater effect due to the quite frankly ridiculous number of them and the points available for them.

The sprint race points were as follows:   Sprint-Race-Points

Team points from the sprint races:

Team-Points-Sprints
Driver points from the sprint races:Drivers-Points-Sprints 

Do the sprint race points have an effect on either championship?

Constructors' championship with and without the sprint and fastest lap points   Constructors-Sprints 
* = Ferrari move up if they have the same number of points due to the Singapore Grand Prix victory 

So it does have an effect on one of the important positions. 
After 2 years, sprint points have had an effect on 6/20 constructors positions. 

 Drivers' championship with and without the sprint and fastest lap points

  Drivers-Sprints Hülkenberg stays ahead of Ricciardo on count back. Zhou stays behind them, also based on countback to best finish. 

Giving points to almost half the field 5 times a year changes the position of 0 of the drivers. That suggests that there are gaps in performance between the drivers and that the sprint races don’t do anything to disturb that (just say no to sprint races in the present format). 

Over 2 years with sprint races, 6/44 results have been changed. 

What have we learned? 
  • The 1 point for fastest lap is too small to affect anything. I think that’s also why the top teams have stopped going for them, which I think is reflected in more drivers and teams getting fastest laps in 2023. 
  • The sprint races really don’t do anything to disturb the existing order, and only strengthen the points totals of the good teams, creating further separation between them and the weaker team.
  • Red Bull, stupid amounts in front of the other teams.
  • Everyone else pretty much coming in two by two except Alpine.
  • In the driver’s championships points totals it’s either large gaps or serious scrunching up of points.
  • It would be more interesting if Red Bull weren’t so far ahead in everything.

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