Monday 28 December 2015

Film Review - Spectre

Writing this so that I can write my explanation for my top ten films of the year.  That and friend L wishes to complain about my illogic some more, despite him having heard it all at the time.

First, a note - the Picturehouse cinema in London is lovely.  Its over-the-phone booking system is less so.  As in accepted payments but did not provide tickets.  The cinema staff sorted it, but take this as a warning.

Spectre, which I keep putting in all capitals because I am old.

My problems are all with the writing and directing, the acting is uniformly solid.

I’m still not sold on the theme song, but I liked the evil Spectre-pus opening credits.

Comments in more or less chronological order (spoilers throughout):

My main objection to the directing is how Mendes has made large parts of it looks like he ran it through an Instagram filter, you know the one, the one that makes things look like a 50s photograph.  It's distracting.  It also makes it look like the main actors are standing in front of a green screen, which cheapens some of the action shots, which is a shame, because I know how difficult they are to do, particularly the helicopter loop-the-loop.

The distracting filter continues on to Rome, a section redeemed by the awesome car chase.  And the Mickey Mouse joke.  And let down by only having Monica Bellucci in two scenes.  Why would you only use Monica Bellucci in two scenes if you've got her (including one of the worst not-quite sex scenes in a Bond film)?  I do start to suspect the only reason they got her in was because they needed an Italian actress for Italian funding and needed an older actress as a Bond girl to counteract exactly how screamingly young Lea Seydoux is.

I know I shouldn't be shocked that Batista is good after Guardians of the Galaxy, but he really is good as Mr. Hinx.  (He's also remarkably precious about the whole acting thing, which is strangely adorable.)  I also like whoever did his suits.  I know Tom Ford did Bond's suits but I don't know if he was also Hinx's tailor.

After Rome we lose the stupid filter for a while, because Austria is obviously not warm and Latin and therefore needs no filter (just assume my sarcasm is heavy and my contempt for the director is great).  I'll give them this, even before I saw the end bit saying it was filmed in Austria because the plane had an Austrian registration, and it pleases me more than I can say.

But those are not the symptoms of thallium poisoning.  Yes, I am being pernickety, but it's not like thallium’s symptoms are hard to research or all that mistakable (see also Agatha Christie's descriptions of it being good enough to save lives).

The stupid filter returns for Tangiers and Morocco (until we reach Blofeld's lair).  And again it cheeses me off.  This bit also included my favourite scene, which we shall call Bond vs the Mouse, which gives Daniel Craig something to do other than look bleak.  Now he does a fine 'looking bleak' but he's a much better actor that just the one mood.  And there's an uneasy borderline hysteria in that scene which fits the film perfectly.  Fantastic scene.

Part of the problem with the film, for me, was that everything after Morocco felt tacked on.  Particularly Dr. Swann being trapped in MI5's old headquarters.

Bits of the film not working with another was one of my other main problems.  Bond vs Blofeld, while I might not like what they do with Blofeld, works.  Bond vs the encroaching intelligence complex, is oddly time-sensitive for a Bond film, something I generally agree with and not something I think Bond would agree with.

Bond vs the encroaching intelligence complex doesn't quite work (certainly not as well as it worked in Mission Impossible: the new one), but I don't mind it because it gives Q, Moneypenny et al something to do.  (Dear villains, do not threaten Q, any Q, I disapprove.)  My main problem with the Bond vs Big Brother bit was the terrible dialogue they gave new! M.  If Ralph Fiennes can't make something work, I can be reasonably sure that it cannot work.  At the beginning we need a reason to believe that C is a well, the word that the film keeps calling him, and we don't, other than him being played by Andrew Scott (who actually does a good good guy when he needs to).

As I said, I'm not sure I like what they did with Blofeld.  I like my evil impersonal and precise.  Although I do love that he wouldn't stoop to poisoning the champagne.

I did have one moment of complete, uncontrollable giggle fit, which I don't think was intentional.  It's just that normally Blofeld wears a Mao-jacket variant but what this Blofeld wears looks like a modernised Tiroler jacke (Tyrolean jacket) and my brain went 'you can take the boy out of Tyrol but not the Tyrol out of the boy' and I had a giggle fit in the middle of a very serious scene.  Sorry about that, people in the screening.

Now onto my actual problems with the film:

I think I see Bond completely differently to how the writers see him. 

Partly it's because I don't believe what he does is something that requires redemption (in the sense of all killing requires it but not Bond in particular out of all secret agents), and I don't think love can redeem in quite the way the film thinks it can.  (And that's before we get onto more theoretical discussions on the nature of redemption and sacrifice, which shall be skipped for time.)

The film doesn't seem to be very clear in re: redemption, because it seems to be saying that Bond's job is necessary, and cannot be replaced by drones, but that means that someone has to do it, and M seems to have an almost split-personality on the topic not wanting Bond to do it, but needing someone for the job.  If the film had gone into that a little more, or even at all, I think I could have lived with it better.

The love redeems thing seems very cheap.  As does the 'only a killer (or relative of one) can understand a killer'.  What happens if someone out of Bond's past decides that they want revenge and kill Madeline?  What does Bond do next?  Does his redemption stick or was he doing it just for Madeline, which suggests that 'love redeems' is as bunk as I think it is.  It doesn't even have to be an international assassin, the number 49 bus does the job just as well.  And I don't think redemption can be due to external things, I think it has to be internal for it to be "redemption".

It feels even weirder because the post-Hinx's death not-actually-a-sex-scene is, I think, held up to be a mirror to the Vesper shower scene in Casino Royal, where Vesper's response to someone's death was utter revulsion while Madeline's response is getting every bit as aroused as Bond, and therefore she's a much better match (according to the film) and yet ... the scene just feels really awkward in a way that the Vesper scene didn't.

The whole 'understanding + sex = redemption' thing feels awkward.

 I also think that they're believers in the Many Bonds theory:

Because they've just salted the Earth for following Bonds if we're pretending that all the Bonds are the same guy.  Because why does Bond come back or do we just have to ignore Madeline and everything in Spectre for the next film.  I know it's one of the problems of having films with closer internal continuity but this one has pretty much broken the line for anything following.  I think that the next film is going to have a different Bond might help that somewhat, but it does mean the Craig Bond-films are pretty much shut into their own cul-de-sac.

Edited to add: I've been told I ought to tell people that I haven't seen Skyfall yet, and that my problems with the film might be due to that.  To me that's still a failure on the writers's part.

Monday 21 December 2015

My Top 10 Films of the Year, 2015

1 - The Martian
2 - Mad Max: Fury Road
3 - Jupiter Ascending
4 - The Hobbit: Revenge of the Hobbit (or Battle of the Five Armies as it's real title may be)
5 - Antman
6 - Mission Impossible: Rogue Nation
7 - Man from U.N.C.L.E.
8 - Spectre
9 - Avengers: Age of Ultron
10 - Crimson Peak

The top two might be the other way round but are head and shoulders above anything else, and 6-9 are subject to movement, particularly between 6 and 7 and 8 and 9.

Worst was definitely Inherent Vice (yes, it was worse than Fantastic Four).


Saturday 21 November 2015

In which I am willing to admit I was wrong about a factoid

The original factoid was "NFL salary capped teams would, adjusted for inflation, RELATIVE terms, be in the bottom 4 of the premier league".  Now the friend who said it did admit he couldn't remember where he'd heard it but the whole proposition sounded dubious anyway.

Obviously I try to be a little more reasonable than 'that doesn't sound right' so I've been ferreting away to prove the factoid is incorrect.

First, it does not compare like with like.  The NFL and the Premier League operate in very different ways.  The NFL has a salary cap and no promotion and relegation.  The Premier League has no salary cap, promotion and relegation, and has to compete for players with other equivalent leagues, primarily in Europe.  When a player is transferred between NFL teams, it tends to be for other players and draft picks, not for money.  When a player is transferred between football teams, it tends to be for cold, hard cash.

As a general rule, if someone's making an analogy that involves an apple and an orange being the same thing, and they don't caveat it like crazy, then they're being disingenuous at best.  So I presumed the factoid was wrong.

I was able to scare up some data, but it's the most complete set is not that recent (2011), so the following might no longer be an accurate reflection, particularly in the case of the Premier League where the new TV deal has meant teams going a bit crazy on the spending front.

The 2011 NFL Salary Cap was $120 million (£78 million).  This is for a 53 player team so we'll call that $2.26 million (£1.47 million) per player on average.

According to this website, the average take home pay for a Premier League player was $2.71 million (£1.76 m), so yes that is more, and I think this is where the factoid comes from.

However, that's an average, and for the factoid to be correct, even the NFL team paying the most for its players would have to be paying less than the average Premier League team.

According to ESPN, in 2011, the team with the highest salary cap was the Dallas Cowboys with $136.6 million (88.65 million) or $2.58 m (£1.67 million).

So I was wrong, and the average wage is indeed higher for Premier League teams.  I can't prove all of the factoid because I don't have an average wage breakdown by team for 2011 so there's no way of telling what the bottom four Premier League teams were paying, but from these numbers, it wouldn't surprise me.

* All currency conversion is done using the $1 : £0.649 ratio given as the average exchange rate for 2011 by the IRS.

Wednesday 11 November 2015

The Provisional Azerbaijan Grand Prix

Now, there are good reasons for complaining about the planned Azerbaijan Grand Prix.

For instance, Azerbaijan's terrible human rights record.

Or that it clashes with the Le Mans.

Both perfectly reasonable reasons.

It's too difficult to get from Canada to Azerbaijan in a week is not a good reason.

For once, this isn't just me being mean.  Several years ago, Baku hosted the Cadet and Junior World Championships in fencing.  Three days after the end of the Worlds, several fencers had to be in New York for a fencing grand prix.  They made it with a day to spare.  If a severely under-funded squad, with what can at best be described as a semi-pro organising team can do it, then I expect twenty professional sports teams to be able to do it without fuss, especially as several of them have access to FedEx and their own corporate jets.  Marussia and Haas are allowed to complain, but only because they have tiny, tiny budgets.  Mercedes and Ferrari really, really aren't allowed to whinge in quite the way they have been.

Friday 6 November 2015

Mexican Grand Prix


Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Nico Rosberg9/4Nico Rosberg5/4Nico Rosberg5/4
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£3.25Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£2.25Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£2.25
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet32.50Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£22.50Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£22.50
Season Total £1 bets-£3.36Season Total £1 bets£8.97Season Total £1 bets£8.30
Season Total £10 bets-£33.53Season Total £10 bets£87.71Season Total £10 bets£90.17

Monday 2 November 2015

Rugby World Cup final in diagrams

Even if, annoyingly New Zealand's name gets cut off when the image is exported from Gephi. (Again, if anyone has any suggestions on how to fix that, I am all ears.)
The Waratahs are the most represented club side with 10 players in the final, with the Brumbies, the Crusaders and the Hurricanes next with 9 players each.


At least this diagram is cuts both team's names.

With the late withdrawal of Wyatt Crockett, both teams have used the same number of players overall.  The Waratahs are still the most represented club side with 12 players, the Crusaders come next with 10, followed by the Brumbies and the Hurricanes next with again 9 players each.

Tuesday 27 October 2015

US Grand Prix

A few notes first.

As Friday second practice was not run due to the weather, I took the results of the first Friday practise session instead.  I did the same thing with the Q2 results as there was no Q3.

Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Nico Rosberg5/2Lewis Hamilton8/15Nico Rosberg5/4
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.53Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£15.33Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10
Season Total £1 bets-£6.61Season Total £1 bets£6.72Season Total £1 bets£6.05
Season Total £10 bets-£66.03Season Total £10 bets£65.21Season Total £10 bets£67.67



Friday 23 October 2015

Rugby World Cup Semi-Finals In Diagrams


New Zealand remain in splendid isolation, while Toulon are the only team guaranteed to have a player in the final. That noise you just heard was European rugby union fans going 'blasted Toulon' or something stronger. Australia are the national team closest to the centre while Toulon are the club team closest to the centre, probably because they're the team holding South Africa, Australia and Argentina together. The Argentine Super Rugby side remain the team with the most players represented with 20, followed by the Waratahs and the Crusaders with 10.

The total players used diagram is now a lot more even, with all the teams having only had to add 1 or 2 players to their original starting squad. Something which may also have helped their teams gel and their overall performances.

Thursday 22 October 2015

Four Thoughts About The Rugby World Cup Quarter-Finals (And Some Diagrams)

1 - I don't think this is the end of Northern Hemisphere rugby

All of Ireland's injuries (and one idiotic suspension), and several of Wales's, were starting players.  So we know that Ireland B and Wales A minus can't beat full strength South African and Argentine sides.

Scotland were done out of their match by a mistake.

France had their first choice kicking person off-injured and seem to have a thing against choose Trinh-Duc, who is better than Michalak anyway.

Reports of the death of Northern Hemisphere rugby may have been greatly exaggerated.

2 - New Zealand look to be terrifyingly good

Because France were not bad in that match, despite what the scoreline says.

But Julian Savea is something else.  Mum's boyfriend was cooing over him.

3 - If this is how Argentine play after getting Super Rugby, think how good Japan will be

Stolen from a friend, but so true.  The possibilities for Japanese rugby are magnificent.

4 - Bringing in the new concussion protocols was a good idea.

For evidence see Scott Baldwin's 'no, I'm fine' after being knocked spark out and also Dan Biggar's.  We can't expect players, who are desperate for their team to succeed and see themselves as part of that, to declare when they're injured.

The diagrams took longer than expected to produce because of the number of teams that were removed and size of each team.

New Zealand are now drifting along in splendid isolation, with the loss of the Tongan and Samoan players that play for New Zealand teams.

Argentina are the national team closest to the centre, while Bordeaux Bègles are the club team closest to the centre.  Leinster and the Argentine Super Rugby franchise are the teams with the most players represented with 20 each.



The important advice remains 'don't be Wales' but don't be Ireland is also important.  When all players used are counted the Argentine Super Rugby franchise has the most players represented, followed by Leinster and Glasgow Warriors.

Wednesday 21 October 2015

Rugby World Cup player usage up to the end of the group stage

Running late because of RL stuff.

The most important thing is, as I've said, don't be Wales.  In this graph, paler is worse and they are the palest nation by some way.

(As an aside, does anyone know any way of adding colour spectra to Gephi?  I find the automatic ones to be unsuitable for what I want to do.)

Several of these injuries occurred before the World Cup, in the "friendly" match against Samoa (which also cost Samoa a few players).

Interesting questions include did Wales etc really get more injuries than say Namibia and Uruguay, or is it that Namibia and Uruguay couldn't call up players so they just had to rotate their squads more?  And are Wales doing something particularly wrong in their training, as a lot of their injuries came in training not in matches?

Tuesday 13 October 2015

Russian Grand Prix


Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Felipe Massa50/1Nico Rosberg11/8Nico Rosberg11/8
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10
Season Total £1 bets-£5.61Season Total £1 bets£5.19Season Total £1 bets£7.05
Season Total £10 bets-£56.03Season Total £10 bets£49.88Season Total £10 bets£77.67


Apparently no-one who wins qualifying wants to win grand prixs.  And Rosberg is cursed.

Wednesday 7 October 2015

Diagram Update and Four More Things To Think About From The Group Stages


The Italian team had to sub out two more players, making them almost as injury-prone as Wales.  Samoa are still the central national team, with Agen the central club team.

I stand by what I said in the last 4 Things post despite South Africa's recovery.  Because Japan really are that good and Samoa are being inexplicably bad.

1 - I discovered I care more about Fiji missing out on automatic qualification than about England going out.

It strikes me as unfair that an improving Fiji team (who have been awesome) are going to have a harder time qualifying for the next World Cup because the IRB are incompetent.

2 - England, and the English press, are living down to expectations now they're out

In particular, blaming someone who wasn't even on the pitch for either of the collapsing parts of the Wales and Australia games.  I don't like being right about them turning on Sam Burgess but I said this was going to happen.

3 - Ireland's fixture list is probably as good as it could have been 

Their match order has been Canada, Romania, Italy and then France, easiest to hardest, giving them a chance to work their way into the competition.  Given the Italy game, this is probably a good thing, since they need to beat France to avoid New Zealand.  Avoiding New Zealand is important.

4 - The turn-around time for the minor nations really is ridiculous.

Poor Uruguay, who are made up mostly of amateurs, had to face Fiji on Tuesday, and then have to play England on Saturday.  That's 4 days.  It's like they're trying to make it more difficult for the smaller teams.

Sunday 4 October 2015

Japanese Grand Prix


Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Daniil Kvyat40/1Nico Rosberg11/8Nico Rosberg11/8
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10
Season Total £1 bets-£4.61Season Total £1 bets£6.19Season Total £1 bets£8.05
Season Total £10 bets-£46.03Season Total £10 bets£59.88Season Total £10 bets£87.67

Thursday 1 October 2015

Hopefully final changes to the diagram for the second round

With Georgia calling up Anton Peikrishvili to replace Davit Kubriashvili.  While it doesn't stop Samoa being the central national team, it moves Agen to being the central club team.  It also really squishes the diagram due to Peikrishvili playing for Bayonne, which pulls Namibia up towards the centre of the diagram.


Wednesday 30 September 2015

More Changes To The Interconnectivity Diagram

Lots of teams seem to be waiting till the last possible moment before swapping players out, which makes sense for them but does mean that there's lots of posts from me with very minor changes.  This is another one.


Samoa and Montpelier continue to be the central teams.

Tuesday 29 September 2015

Second Set of Changes After The Second Round of Group Stage Games

From which the take home message is 'don't be Wales, and don't play Wales'.  Because they've had to swap yet more players.
Samoa and Montpelier continue to be the central teams.

Sunday 27 September 2015

First Set of Changes After The Second Round of Group Games

I suspect there will be more, probably from Wales after that match, but this includes the changes Fiji and South Africa have been forced to make.


Samoa are still the national team closest to the centre, but Montpelier are now the closest club team.  This is possibly because the Fijian replacement, Timoci Nagusa, plays for them.


Friday 25 September 2015

In Which I Am Definitely Blaming Canada (Another Update to the Rugby Diagram)

Canada left it late to replace Liam Underwood, injured in the game against Ireland, with James Pritchard.  I presume this was in the hope that Underwood might recover.


Samoa is still the nation closest to the centre, with Aurilliac being the club team closest (or one of the unattacheds).

Wednesday 23 September 2015

Late Breaking Changes to the Interconnectivity Diagram

I deliberately left the last update as late as I could so that no changes would fall through the cracks.  So, of course, after I post it, I find out that Italy have had to replace Andrea Masi with Michele Visentin.

The diagram now looks like this


Samoa are still the national team closest to the centre, but the club team closest to the centre is now either Agen or Aurillac.  It's probably Aurillac but it's very close.

Italy have now had to replace three of their players, making them the second most affected team at the World Cup.

Tuesday 22 September 2015

Rugby Union World Cup Interconnectivity Diagram After The First Round of Group Games



I've swapped out the poor, unfortunate Yoann Huget and Cory Allen for their replacements.  It doesn't do much to the overall shape of the diagram, with Samoa still the country nearest the middle and either Toulon or Agen the club sides nearest the middle.

Wales are definitely the most injury prone side in this competition so far, with Tyler Morgan the fourth player they have had to call up.

Monday 21 September 2015

4 Things From The First Round of Rugby World Cup Matches

1 - These Minnows Aren't As Minnowy As Expected

This is not a complaint.  With the exception of Canada (sorry my Canadian friends), all of the smaller teams turned up and made themselves known.

2 - World Rugby Might Be Useful For Something

I don't like being nice about the IRB as was, but the improvement in the Tier 2 nations suggests that their plan to improve them might have been a good thing.

3 - I Don't Think That South African Result Was A Fluke, In Either Direction

Japan have always been a good team, that have lost because of lack of size not lack of skill.  Possibly the new scrum rules are enabling them to use that skill in a way they couldn't before.  If they can fully recover in time for the Scotland match, that could be interesting.

On the other side, I don't think that was a South African side playing below their abilities.  Especially when you consider the results in this year's Four Nations (I am calling it The Rugby Championship over my cold dead body).  Could it be that this South African team have just turned up too old to this World Cup?

4 - South Africa Were Not The Only "Big" Nation To Look A Little Creaky

Sure, they remembered they were the might All Blacks and went on to win, but New Zealand looked very rocky in patches against Argentina.  South Africa had amassed 851 caps before the game, but this is dwarfed by the 1,013 caps the New Zealand starting XV had.  In a sport as physically draining as rugby union, all those games are going to start to tell eventually, even if you're as deeply professional as New Zealand are about pre- and post-match conditioning and recovery.

Singapore Grand Prix

It's undoubtedly going to lead to losing money on this, but well done Daniil!

Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Daniil Kvyat12/1Sebastian Vettel8/15Sebastian Vettel8/15
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.53Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.53
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£15.33Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£15.33
Season Total £1 bets-£3.61Season Total £1 bets£7.19Season Total £1 bets£9.05
Season Total £10 bets-£36.03Season Total £10 bets£69.88Season Total £10 bets£97.67

Friday 18 September 2015

Rugby Union World Cup Interconnectivity Diagram

Which I making at least partly as part 2 of @TiberiusJolly's birthday present, so I hope it amuses him. Although I did learn one thing making this, which is that Maurie Fa'asavalu is playing for Samoa.  So I'm sorry, I'm cheering for them.

The teams are as correct as Wikipedia can make them and are taken from here.  Now, there is some debate for some of the teams the players are listed under due to the rugby union seasons in different countries not quite matching up, plus you get strange things like Paul O'Connell being listed as a Toulon player before he's touched a ball for them because the Irish season has finished.  For the New Zealand players, I have listed them under their franchise not their province.  All unattached players are listed as being separately unattached.

The club teams with the most players represented is UAR, which is the Argentine Super Rugby franchise, and Glasgow Warriors, both with 21.

The national team closest to the centre are Samoa, while the closest teams to the centre are Agen and Toulon.

Of interest is how far away Ireland are from everyone else.  This is because all their players (except Paul O'Connell (ish)) play in Ireland and very few foreign players play in Ireland.  Uruguay are similarly out to one side, although more of their players play abroad, and it is more that those players play for teams that have few other players represented at the World Cup.

I plan on following the changes in the diagram as teams get knocked out, as usual, but I'll also produce on showing all the players that have been called up, because the turnover is much higher in rugby union than in football.  So far, Wales are winning/losing that one, having had to call up three new players into the squad.  Following a match between them and Samoa, who have also had to call up two players.  Which suggests that one take home message from this is not to face either Wales or Samoa in your warm-up matches because they damage your players.

Friday 11 September 2015

Restaurant Review - Rub, Birmingham

Location: 4, Regency Wharf, Broad St, Birmingham B1 1DS

Menu: here

Style of food: Describes itself a US-style BBQ.  No idea if this is accurate or not.

~~~~

The food was fantastically tasty.  I went for the 'Chicken N Waffles', and the salt of the chicken and sweetness of the maple syrup combined most excellently.  The chicken meat itself was soft and delicious.

Annoyingly, although I checked the menu for miscellaneous sauces and none was mentioned for 'Chicken N Waffles', it came with a liberal covering of what I suspect was chipotle sauce.  Although I can't be sure, because it wasn't mentioned on the menu.  Now this isn't a huge problem for me, my problem's that I'm fussy, but it does make you worry a bit about what else might be in recipes that they don't bother to mention (guess who knows a lot of people with nut allergies).

I went with a Mississippi mud shake (which they since seem to have taken off the menu), which again was glorious.  Thick without being gloopy and remarkable thirst-quenching given that it was a milkshake.  They'd run out of their iced tea, which would have been my first choice, but given how rammed the restaurant was, it's not surprising, plus it was the only thing that wasn't available.  I definitely recommend making a reservation before going.

The 'Chicken N Waffles' came with your choice of sides and I went with the skin on fries.  Which I think were an excellent choice.  Not too thin and again, well flavoured.

The only complaint I could have about the food was there was too much of it.  I struggled to eat all my 'Chicken N Waffles' and had to pass a fair few of the fries down the line.  I think more-than-you-can-eat cuisine comes from a different culture than mine, where wasting food is a mortal sin.

While I am what L describes as an accidental hipster, and therefore things like jam-jars for drinks and tin crockery don't bother me.  What does bother me is seats made out of faux-shipping pallets that are so uncomfortable that I'm still sore two days later.  Now I am well-padded of posterior so I have no idea how uncomfortable some of the skinny minis I was with found it, but what I do know is that they all complained about how uncomfortable it was.

~~~~

Would I go again: Sure, but I'd try to make sure we were on the proper seats not the benches.

Tuesday 8 September 2015

On Kimi Raikkonen's New Contract

The whole thing on the BBC (and possibly elsewhere in the UK press but I get most of my sports news from the BBC) about Raikkonen possibly leaving Ferrari struck me as complete nonsense at the time.  And that's not hindsight talking, I have witnesses whose ears I bent decrying the unspeakable stupidity of the BBC correspondent for going with this line.

Now, I'm not an insider, and have nothing like the same access to information, so why did the story not pass the sniff test for me:

1 - Ferrari as a team suffers from inertia.  They stick with ideas, plans, team members for far longer than anyone else would.  It's a failing, one that Ferrari himself would hate.  They most certainly wouldn't have publicly announced Raikkonen's departure before they'd completed sorted his replacement.

The only time recently that Ferrari have moved quickly was in replacing Marco Mattiacci with Maurizio Arrivabene.

Which leads to

2 - Signore Arrivabene appears to actually like Kimi.  If the drivers that are on the market are all much of a muchness, that sort of thing is going to count in Kimi's favour.

3 - The drivers on the market are much of a muchness.  There are 3 drivers that stand out, and Ferrari have said arrivederci to one of them, have one of them and can't afford the third, nor do I think that Hamilton wants to drive for the Red Menace.  Of the rest, Bottas either said 'no, thank you,' or was never asked, Danny Ricciardo is under contract to Red Bull and Nico Hulkenberg is too tall.  I would love for any of those three to drive for Ferrari, but I couldn't see it happening before 2017, and if it does ever happen, I don't think it'll be Hulkenberg that becomes Ferrari #2.

Before anyone says Max Verstappen, along with not making quick changes Ferrari seem to be allergic to young drivers and Mighty Max needs more seasoning.  That's not me being mean, both Verstappens agree with me.

4 - Vettel seems to like Kimi.  I don't know if that's because he knows he can beat him or because they do actually get on.  Either way, since Vettel is one of the big three, it's worth keeping Raikkonen to keep him happy.

Like I said, I have no inside information but the story as it was told made no sense given what we know of Ferrari and I have no idea why, other than a BBC F1 columnist trying to justify his job and it being silly season, this non-story got so much column space.

Monday 7 September 2015

Italian Grand Prix

Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Lewis Hamilton4/11Lews Hamilton1/3Lewis Hamilton1/3
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.36Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.33Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£.133
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£13.64Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£13.33Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£13.33
Season Total £1 bets-£2.61Season Total £1 bets£5.66Season Total £1 bets£7.52
Season Total £10 bets-£26.03Season Total £10 bets£54.55Season Total £10 bets£82.34

Tuesday 25 August 2015

Belgian Grand Prix



Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Nico Rosberg5/2Lewis Hamilton8/11Lewis Hamilton4/9
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.73Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.44
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£17.27Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£14.44
Season Total £1 bets-£3.97Season Total £1 bets£4.33Season Total £1 bets£6.19
Season Total £10 bets-£39.67Season Total £10 bets£41.22Season Total £10 bets£69.01

Saturday 22 August 2015

Sam Burgess Cannot Win

First things first, I am a league girl, born and bred.  But I don't blame Sam Burgess for switching codes.  There's money in them thar fields.  Other than that, he wants to win a World Cup, and England Rugby Union have a greater chance of that than England Rugby League.  Again, I admire a man with ambition.

But the way the English RFU have gone about it means that Sam Burgess is going to get it in the neck whatever happens.

If he gets into the England team for the World Cup, people will say it's only because the RFU has decided to put him in there to prove a point, that they were right to pay the Rabbitohs the stupid amount it took to bring him to Bath from Sydney.  If he doesn't, it's because he's just a big lump that tackles hard, and isn't worth the fuss or the money.  And he's more than just a big lump (although he does big lump jobs very well).

I'm not sure if the mistake the RFU made was paying his transfer fee (because it's unfair on teams that aren't Bath), or making it clear that he was being fast-tracked into the England team (which he was).  Either way, they've handled this badly.

Friday 21 August 2015

Champions League Finals, and other sporting finals

I'm a Juventus fan, so my team got beaten by the better team in the Champions League final.  Which is an odd feeling for a fan.  Because it's not the worst way to lose, it's not hated rivals, flukey 90th minute goal or anything like that.  But still, it's aggravating to have to sit their going 'fair enough, the better team won'.

Because you think back to all those moments, particularly that moment after Morata had equalised and Pogba made that run and got chopped down by a Barcelona player in the box, and that should have been a penalty.  And if the penalty had gone in ...

But that's the nature of being a sports fan, you hang on what could have beens.

However, this line of thinking lead to another thought:-

I may be a Juventus fan, but I am also a football fan, and I think it was probably a fairly good match to watch.  It had flow and stuff.  But a neutral would probably have said that Barcelona were the better team and that they were the more deserved winners.  Now I, for obvious reasons, wouldn't minded a sneaky Juventus victory.  They'd beaten better teams on the way to the final.

I was reminded of a conversation I'd had with @JTBourne on Twitter (if you like sport, follow him, he writes for theScore and is very funny about a wide range of sports).

It was about one of the semi-finals of the hockey playoffs (if they're even called that).  There was good team vs less good team and people were saying that less good team were just not working hard enough and their only chance to win was to out-work the better team.  And the point being made that there were limits to what hard work can get you - which is not a popular position, because it obviously should, and we've had it drummed into our heads for years that it will - and that sometimes, you just come up against a better team.

And, and this is what set me to thinking, that less good team had even less of a chance, because it was best of seven, and you can out work a team for one match and get lucky at the other end to score, but it's very hard to do that for seven matches in a row.

So I got to wondering.  Why do some sports have best of seven deciders, and some have winner takes one, takes all deciders?

With some sports, you can see why, because of the physical effort and danger involved in playing the sport.  I'd say both rugbys and American football come under this heading.

Then you have the rest.

There are certain advantages to having best of x series.  You're more or less guaranteed that the more skilled "better" team will win.  Freak overall results are unlikely.  Tension is maintained over a longer time (i.e. advertising $).

At the same time, there are advantages to one and done series - tension is focus on one night.  Advertisers only have one game to go for (again advertising $).  Each goal counts for more.

So I was discussing this friends, and one of them who is a baseball fan mentioned that in baseball, you need the extra games so you can play your full rotation.  Which was something I hadn't even thought of, because, with the exception of the Tinker Man, most soccer football managers know who their first 11 + 5 are going to be, so there isn't the same variety in the teams sent out to play.

I don't think that football will ever change, nor do I want it to, but if it had been a North American sport, I don't have a second's doubt that it would have a best of 7 series final for the Champions League.

Thursday 13 August 2015

About the Dark Lord Armstrong

I did not come easily to liking Darth Lance.  He rode with the wrong team, against my beloved Telekom team.  And he used to beat my beloved Telekom boys.  And I felt that he got more UK coverage than someone else doing just as well, purely because he was an Anglophone.  So, rider riding for the wrong team, riding for the strongest team, and a rider that I didn't particularly like for any other reason.

Now you'll notice that I didn't mention his doping or lack thereof.  That's mostly because Richard Virenque was my first cycling love and I never really stopped loving him, so I couldn't really claim any moral high-ground on the doping front when it came to my favourites*.  Either Armstrong was clean, in which case he was incredible, or he wasn't, in which case he was doing better than everyone else who was also on stuff.  It never made much of a matter to me.

So I couldn't really join in the howls of indignation when d'affaire Armstrong happened.  And I'd like to point out that he still has never failed a test, he only got caught because half his lieutenants failed tests and because they then 'fessed up about exactly how systematic doping was in the US Postal/Discovery team.

Then after he got thoroughly stricken from the record, I found myself feeling really awkward because I agreed with Armstrong.  Why was he the only one stricken, when pretty much every other winner around him was also caught doping?  Okay, so Bjarne Riis confessed, so maybe he's allowed to keep it for honesty (and, in the ASO's defence, they want to strike him too but the UCI is not letting them), but my darling Jan wasn't exactly clean (and has also admitted it) so why is he not being struck.  And this is not me picking on people, I love Ullrich like crazy because he's one of my beloved Telekom boys.

It just strikes me that only removing Armstrong from the record is unfair, since he was by no means the only winner to be on something, illogical, because see previous point, and it hides quite how systematic and complete the doping problem was (is?) in cycling.

*my other one, true and undying cycling love is Alexandre Vinokourov.  I don't half pick 'em.

Saturday 1 August 2015

World Cup 2018 Qualifying Groups (Which May Shade Into A Rant In Parts)

After much drawing of rabbits balls out of hats, we have the European qualifying groups for the 2018 World Cup.  They are:

Group AGroup BGroup CGroup DGroup EGroup FGroup GGroup HGroup I
NetherlandsPortugalGermanyWalesRomaniaEnglandSpainBelgiumCroatia
FranceSwitzerlandCzech RepublicAustriaDenmarkSlovakiaItalyBosnia-HerzegovinaIceland
SwedenHungaryNorthern IrelandSerbiaPolandScotlandAlbaniaGreeceUkraine
BulgariaFaroe IslandsNorwayRepublic of IrelandMontenegroSloveniaIsraelEstoniaTurkey
BelarusLatviaAzerbaijanMoldovaArmeniaLithuaniaMacedoniaCyprusFinland
LuxembourgAndorraSan MarinoGeorgiaKazakhstanMaltaLiechtenstein


Gibraltar are only a UEFA member, not a full FIFA member, which is why they're not on here, and Russia have pre-qualified as hosts (I think).  Some of the group members are sick of each other, with several being in the same Euro 2016 qualifying groups.  I think that's a side-effect of the potting process.

I understand why they do that, to help mix everything up a bit in these things, but there's some thing very fishy about the most recent group drawing rule change, making the "big" teams play in the six-member groups, because the TV companies want more of the "big" teams, even though they might not be pot 1 standard.  Because that's fair!

I don't mind when FIFA/UEFA do things like not drawing Spain and Gibraltar together or Armenia and Azerbaijan because of political tensions, because, first do no harm makes sense on these occasions, but TV ratings are not a good reason for doing this.

If you do it straight out of the FIFA rankings, you get:

Group AGroup BGroup CGroup DGroup EGroup FGroup GGroup HGroup I
GermanyBelgiumNetherlandsPortugalRomaniaEnglandWalesSpainCroatia
Bosnia and HerzegovinaDenmarkIcelandFranceCzech RepublicSwitzerlandItalyAustriaSlovakia
UkraineScotlandPolandHungarySwedenAlbaniaNorthern IrelandSerbiaGreece
EstoniaMontenegroFaroe IslandsBulgariaNorwayRepublic of IrelandIsraelSloveniaTurkey
CyprusLatviaArmeniaFinlandBelarusMacedoniaAzerbaijanLithuaniaMoldova


AndorraSan MarinoMaltaGeorgiaLiechtensteinLuxembourgKazakhstan

Okay, so it means that Germany and Belgium don't get to play as much which they'd probably complain about, and Austria's draw sucks something awful, but the groups do seem more even.  I can also see an argument that this kind of rigidly ranking-based draw would make rank mobility less likely.  So you could do it the way the draws used to be done, where top 8 are pot 1, next 8 are pot 2 and so one, but do it clean and not let the TV companies interfere.

Sunday 26 July 2015

Hungarian Grand Prix

For all that it's done terrible things to my numbers, go Seb!

Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Lewis Hamilton2/5Lewis Hamilton1/4Lewis Hamilton1/4
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10
Season Total £1 bets-£2.97Season Total £1 bets£2.60Season Total £1 bets£4.75
Season Total £10 bets-£29.67Season Total £10 bets£23.95Season Total £10 bets£54.57

Thursday 23 July 2015

In Which The BBC Miss A Few Things About Chris Froome

So the BBC posted a 'Why do the British not love Chris Froome?' article, and seemed to miss every single important point.

They seem to think that it's because he's not Bradley Wiggins.  Because everyone loved Wiggins (which isn't true either but never mind).

The article said that people were being hypocritical because Wiggins is a foreign-born half-Aussie, and it's like, nah, because you see Wiggins never cycled under any other flag while I remember Froome as a Kenyan.  I've got no issue with people changing nationality or being dual nationals (because that would be a bit pot, kettle, black) but it does affect how some people see sportspeople.

The other problems are really not Froome's fault at all:

1) Cycling has an image problem.  Cyclists are presumed guilty.  Is it fair?  No.  Is it reasonable given the last twenty years of cycling?  Yes.  That general cloud of suspicion envelops Froome because he's one of the best cyclists at the moment.

2) Team Sky are the big team.  They have money, technology and buy the best members from other teams.  They are the over-dog and Froome is part of this.  It is very hard to cheer for the over-dog if you are not already invested, and most casual cycling fans aren't.

3) He's not the first Brit to do this.  It's not fair, but first gets a lot more praise.

4) He never seems to have an off-day.  Everyone else has a stage where they crack and have to be dragged up the hill by their team-mates.  Froome doesn't.  Which increases suspicions because you know who else never had off-days?  He who they try to pretend never happened.

5) He doesn't seem to suffer or to have to try.  I think this one really isn't his fault, he just has one of those faces that doesn't reveal much.  Contrast this with say Thomas Voeckler, who, we all know when he's trying because the tongue appears, or Cadel Evans, whose whole body bent into peculiar shapes when he was trying.  It makes it harder to empathize.

6) The unfortunate incident of the TUE (therapeutic usage exemption) (details here).  No actual wrong-doing occurred, but when you're in a sport with a known drug problem, even innocent usage of corticosteroids is going to get looked at funny.  And I have no idea why the BBC article doesn't mention this.  Or rather I do, because the article is a Froome/Sky puff piece, but that TUE is one of the reasons people feel uneasy about Froome, and to omit mention of it entirely is to make the article pointless.

Personally, I think Froome is as clean as everyone else in the peleton, and I prefer him to Wiggins but that BBC article missed a lot of the why of why people aren't going ga-ga over him.

Wednesday 8 July 2015

British Grand Prix

Which I'm going to be able to watch live on TV for once.

Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Nico Rosberg7/4Lewis Hamilton2/5Lewis Hamilton2/5
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.40Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.40
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£14Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£14
Season Total £1 bets-£3.97Season Total £1 bets£3.60Season Total £1 bets£5.75
Season Total £10 bets-£39.67Season Total £10 bets£33.95Season Total £10 bets£54.57

Monday 22 June 2015

Austrian Grand Prix



Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Sebastian Vettel20/1Sebastian Vettel5/1Lewis Hamilton4/9
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10
Season Total £1 bets-£2.97Season Total £1 bets£2.20Season Total £1 bets£4.35
Season Total £10 bets-£29.67Season Total £10 bets£19.95Season Total £10 bets£41.57

Wednesday 10 June 2015

Canadian Grand Prix

Time for my favourite grand prix of the year.

Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Lewis Hamilton1/2Nico Rosberg4/1Lewis Hamilton1/3
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.50Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.33
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£15Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£13.33
Season Total £1 bets-£1.97Season Total £1 bets£3.20Season Total £1 bets£5.35
Season Total £10 bets-£19.67Season Total £10 bets£29.95Season Total £10 bets£51.57

Saturday 30 May 2015

Monaco Grand Prix

Fastest Friday Thursday PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Lewis Hamilton17/20Sebastian Vettel11/1Lewis Hamilton2/7
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10
Season Total £1 bets-£3.47Season Total £1 bets£4.20Season Total £1 bets£4.02
Season Total £10 bets-£34.67Season Total £10 bets£39.95Season Total £10 bets£38.24


I'm pleased that even utterly inexplicable decisions by Mercedes don't throw this off too much.

Tuesday 12 May 2015

Spanish Grand Prix

Fastest Friday PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Lewis Hamilton4/9Nico RosbergEvensNico RosbergEvens
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£2Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£2
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£20Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£20
Season Total £1 bets-£2.47Season Total £1 bets£5.20Season Total £1 bets£5.02
Season Total £10 bets-£24.67Season Total £10 bets£49.95Season Total £10 bets£48.24


Saturday 2 May 2015

Film Locations

Following on from my post about where the book's I've read are set, I decided to look at where the films I've seen are set, not least of all because I'm far better watched than read.

First things first, this is only a collection up to January 2013 (I'm going through them slowly).
The thing I notice is that the films I watch are set in a greater variety of places:

I wonder if that's because book writers tend to write where they know, or if it's because I have a fondness for country house mysteries. However, for the UK-based films, there's still not much variety:


Tuesday 28 April 2015

On Mayweather vs Pacquiao

I was going to write a whole long post about the fight, but I find that Ricky Hatton has said everything I was going to say, in a much better way, and with greater authority, here.

The only thing I might add is that one of the things that counts against Mayweather in the public perception is that he always (or almost always) plays the villain in the build up to his fights.  Which makes sense from his point of view, because it keeps people's interest.  Because he's stuck with an interesting problem, in that he's enough better than the rest of his division that the fights aren't all that close, and he's a counter-attacking fighter, and people don't seem to get the effort and precision involved in being a good counter-attacker, so that's not a big box office draw either.  If he didn't play the villain, it'd be very similar to the problem there is in the heavyweight division, where we know who is going to win (a Klitschko) and how they're going to win so people aren't all that interested, so they don't watch, so the purse isn't that big.  And if my job involves people trying to hit me in the head, I am going to try to get paid as much as I can.

So Mayweather plays the villain and people pay to watch people hit him, and, of course, he's good enough that they don't.  Because Mayweather has an exceptional defence, one that I wish to show several UK boxers as something to be emulated.  He does other things that I think help him, such as staying in reasonably close to fight shape (unlike people who shall remain un-named but are obvious), so there's less stress on his body overall, which may be why Old Father Time has bitten him less than other people.

Basically unless he turns up too old on the 2nd of May (which can happen and in the [paraphrased] words of Bernard Hopkins, you never know you're too old until you turn up too old), Mayweather is winning this one.

I am still, however, utterly hoping and praying that Pacquiao will win.

Wednesday 22 April 2015

Bahrain Grand Prix

Fastest Friday PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Nico Rosberg5/2Lewis Hamilton8/13Lewis Hamilton4/9
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.62Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.44
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£16.15Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£14.44
Season Total £1 bets-£1.47Season Total £1 bets£3.20Season Total £1 bets£3.02
Season Total £10 bets-£14.67Season Total £10 bets£29.95Season Total £10 bets£28.24


Wednesday 15 April 2015

Chinese Grand Prix

Fastest Friday PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Lewis Hamilton8/15Lewis Hamilton2/9Lewis Hamilton2/9
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.53Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.22Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.22
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£15.33Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£12.22Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£12.22
Season Total £1 bets-£0.47Season Total £1 bets£1.58Season Total £1 bets£1.58
Season Total £10 bets-£4.67Season Total £10 bets£13.80Season Total £10 bets£13.80


Tuesday 7 April 2015

The Great Driver Debate

First, the background: I am a Sebastian Vettel fan.  I have been since the Toro Rosso days.  So I get a bit miffed when people say he's only got 4 world titles because of the car.  This is not to say that the Red Bulls weren't amazing, because they were, but that because you pretty much have to have a good car to win the driver's title.  Merely good racers have won the title, but it's rare that average (in comparison to the rest of the field) cars do.

I may get a little irritated by the Hamilton fans on Twitter that insist that he's all talent, while Vettel is all car.  I think Hamilton is a fabulous talent, but the Mercedes last year was head and shoulders above any of the other cars, and I seemed to recall that that McLaren he won in was a little bit good too.

Gut feeling (and a certain pro-Vettel bias) is probably not good enough to decide this, so I thought, what would be a good way of seeing if both Vettel and Hamilton's winning cars were better than everything else in the field.

One quick and dirty way I thought of was looking at the performance of the other car from that team.  If the car is better than everything else in the field, you'd expect the team-mate to come second.

I've compiled a list of the driver's world title winners from the past 10 years, and of who came second to them.

YearWinnerSecond
2004Michael Schumacher (Ferrari)Rubens Barrichello (Ferrari)
2005Fernando Alonso (Renault)Kimi Raikkonen (McLaren)
2006Fernando Alonso (Renault)Michael Schumacher (Ferrari)
2007Kimi Raikkonen (Ferrari)Lewis Hamilton (McLaren)
2008Lewis Hamilton (McLaren)Felipe Massa (Ferrari)
2009Jenson Button (Brawn)Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull)
2010Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull)Fernando Alonso (Ferrari)
2011Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull)Jenson Button (McLaren)
2012Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull)Fernando Alonso (Ferrari)
2013Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull)Fernando Alonso (Ferrari)
2014Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes)Nico Rosberg (Mercedes)

In that list, there were only times where a constructor finished first and second, Ferrari in 2004 and Mercedes in 2014.

Now the interesting thing for me is that in none of Vettel's championship winning years did his team-mate finish second to him.  Which suggests he might have some talent beyond being in the right car at the right time.

Obviously, this is very rough and ready, and misses things like the curse that afflicted Mark Webber.

Another way to look at it might be to look at the positions of the winning driver and his team-mate directly.

YearWinnerTeam-mate
2004Michael Schumacher (Ferrari)2nd (Rubens Barrichello)
2005Fernando Alonso (Renault)5th (Giancarlo Fisichella)
2006Fernando Alonso (Renault)4th (Giancarlo Fisichella)
2007Kimi Raikkonen (Ferrari)4th (Felipe Massa)
2008Lewis Hamilton (McLaren)7th (Heikki Kovalainen)
2009Jenson Button (Brawn)3rd (Rubens Barrichello)
2010Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull)3rd (Mark Webber)
2011Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull)3rd (Mark Webber)
2012Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull)6th (Mark Webber)
2013Sebastian Vettel (Red Bull)3rd (Mark Webber)
2014Lewis Hamilton (Mercedes)2nd (Nico Rosberg)

On average, the team-mate of the winner finished in 3.81th place.  Which we shall round to 4th ;)  Alonso, Hamilton and Vettel have all had team-mates that finished lower than that.  On average, Alonso and Hamilton's team-mates finished in 4.5th place, while Vettel's team-mate finished in 3.75th place.  So not as far behind, but there's not much of a difference.

Obviously, we're never going to get a proper head-to-head of Alonso vs Vettel or Vettel vs Hamilton, and the one season where Hamilton and Alonso were in the same car, they scored the same number of points.  To me all of this suggests that they are pretty much of a muchness in terms of driving skill.  Which I grant is not a great conclusion to end with, but it is what it is.

Monday 30 March 2015

Malaysian Grand Prix

Fastest Friday PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Lewis Hamilton4/7Nico Rosberg4/1Lewis Hamilton1/3
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10
Season Total £1 bets-£2Season Total £1 bets£0.36Season Total £1 bets£0.36
Season Total £10 bets-£20Season Total £10 bets£3.64Season Total £10 bets£3.64


I'd feel a lot worse about losing my imaginary money, but there was a Ferrari win and therefore all is right with the world.

Sunday 15 March 2015

Australian Grand Prix

The new season is upon us. It is a great and joyous time. (Fingers crossed for Ferrari.) That being said, it's time to do my yearly thing of betting odds, in my continuing attempts to reach statistical significance.

Fastest Friday PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Nico Rosberg5/2Lewis Hamilton4/11Lewis Hamilton4/11
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.36Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.36
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet
-£10
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£13.64Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£13.64
Season Total £1 bets-£1Season Total £1 bets£1.36Season Total £1 bets£1.36
Season Total £10 bets-£10Season Total £10 bets£13.64Season Total £10 bets£13.64

The values are mangled because I couldn't get to the William Hill website in time between Saturday practice and qualifying.

As for the race, if Mercedes keep that up, they'll have won by the middle of the season, and the people they advertise on their cars are going to ask them to slow down because they're getting no coverage.

Friday 13 March 2015

'Twas the night before the first qualifying session of the season

For an F1 fan, the week before the first grand prix of the season is probably the most wonderful time of the year.  It's the last time we can pretend to ourselves that all the cars and drivers might stand half a chance at actually winning something and that it won't just be a two horse race featuring whichever manufacturer has the best car (it's going to be Mercedes this season).

You can still, at this point, lie to yourself and say that if the team you like have done poorly in testing, they have been sandbagging, and if they've been doing well, it's because the car is good, not because they've been running light on fuel.

As a Ferrari fan, I am trying not to be optimistic.  I have been here too often.  Because the car looks good, and looks to be performing reasonably well and ... if the Mercedes hit each other often enough Ferrari might, might, might just win a few races and then and then ... and you'll note I said trying not to be optimistic, not succeeding.

Friday 30 January 2015

Book Locations

If I may direct you to a thing that @nwbrux (on Twitter) is doing, where he's using LibraryThing and GoodReads to try to find the most famous book from each European country - http://nwhyte.livejournal.com/tag/famous%20books%20by%20geography. (Inspired by this mentalfloss thing doing the same for each US state -http://mentalfloss.com/article/56377/most-famous-book-set-each-state).

Other than being very happy that Kidnapped got a mention for Scotland, and hoping that The Three Musketeers gets a mention for France, I have suddenly become aware that the other thing I think of when you say French book isn't a novel per se (Asterix for the win) and neither is the thing I think of when you say Dutch book (the Diary of Anne Frank).

Anyway, I did a quick blast through the books that I have reviewed on LibraryThing (because it's common knowledge function is useful when you can't quite remember where on of the Aubrey and Maturin books is set), and I have found that I really need to read a more varied selection of books.



And that Brazilian one is pushing it a bit because they literally only just touch there in HMS Surprise, but the whole "you debauched my sloth" thing is too magnificent to ignore.

It's even worse if I look at the UK-based books:


(Yes, all of the Welsh ones are Torchwood books.) Add to that that most of those are set in London or the Home Counties, it definitely means I need to read a more varied set of books.

Saturday 3 January 2015

There have been complaints about my top 10 films of 2014 list, expected complaints, from parties that shall remain nameless but obvious, who are partisans for Guardians of the Galaxy.

First of all, it's a top 10 favourite, not a top 10 best list so it will be wonked by my taste, or lack thereof.

Secondly, some explanation of how I rank films.

a) Does this film achieve what it set out to do?  Or the Ebert rule.  Or, you can't watch a horror film and then a musical and complain about the lack of songs in the horror and the lack of gore in the musical (unless it's supposed to be a musical horror).

b) Technical merit.  Which I grade on a curve, which we shall call Twig's curve for the person who explained it best.  Basically, I expect the explosions in a film that cost £150 million to be better than the ones in a film that cost £150.

Or to use a proper example, the fact that in 'Tooth and Claw', Doctor Who produced a better werewolf than Warner Brothers managed to make for Harry Potter, means that Prisoner of Azkaban gets a lower tech. merit score.

Soundtracks so loud I can't hear the actors goes in here, along with lighting so poor I can't see anything.  It's that sort of category.

Then there's the even more subjective criteria.

c) Intellectual satisfaction.  Is the premise internally consistent, are the characters?  Is there an annoying deus ex machina?  (It's possible to do deus ex machina well without me claiming that a film has cheated.  It normally involves a film charming me or being clever enough that I don't care.)

Then there's the most subjective.

d) Does it affect me?

Obviously this is going to vary wildly from person to person, because part of what you get out is the influences you brought in.

I am always going to like a film that makes me respond more than one that didn't.

A perfect example is Inception, and the spinning top at the end.  I saw it at the Leicester Odeon on an Orange Wednesday and the entire, sold-out, audience groaned at the end, making a noise that can only be described as 'ngh'.  There was a woman a few rows in front of me who was trying to knock the top over by waving at the screen.  That film got us all and good.

So, some justification for the positions (some slight spoilers follow):