Sunday 6 April 2014

Bahrain Grand Prix



Fastest Friday PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Lewis Hamilton4/7Lewis Hamilton2/7Nico Rosberg10/11
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.57Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.29Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet
£15.71
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£12.86Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10
Season Total £1 bets-£0.43Season Total £1 bets£5.29Season Total £1 bets-£0.17
Season Total £10 bets-£4.29Season Total £10 bets£52.86Season Total £10 bets-£1.67

This is interesting.  At this point, admittedly only 3 races into a 19 Grand Prix season, only one of these betting strategies is in profit.  Possibly this is both because of Mercedes's dominance (and therefore the poor odds offered by the bookies) and the small size of the difference in performance between the two Mercedes.  If Nico Rosberg had beaten Hamilton in qualifying at Malaysia, the last column would look very different.  Obviously, the old 'if ifs and ands were pots and pans' applies, but I think the table would be very different in a team with a clear number 1 and number 2 driver.

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