Wednesday, 28 October 2026

Rugby League World Cup 2026 - Data visualisation project update after game 2

Game 2 itself: 
The game highlights one of the problems England face. They can beat the French, and beat them handily (Match report here), but against the stronger teams, they just don't seem to gel. 

Like in 2023, yes, they beat a touring Tonga team (who were without several of their players), but it wasn't anything like convincing, and yes, that was under a different coach but I don't blame Wane for it. 

There needs to be more regular international rugby league to allow England to get any better (also Lebanon, France, Ireland, Scotland etc). 

McDermott appears to have come around on the topic of Jez Litten, but not quite sure why you'd suddenly swap Ashton for Eckersley after you'd trusted Eckersley against Tonga. 

Data visualisation: 

For the data visualisation, I've only done the cumulative charts. This is partly because half the game 2 charts would have been blank because France didn't score, and because the thrust of the project is the developments game to game. 

When do England score? Bar chart of when England score.  The important detail is that the first bar is at 22 minutes.  Most point-scoring moments are in the last 20 minutes.  Minute 63 has the most at the moment with 3 point-scoring moments.

Even against France, it took England 22 minutes to score. Obviously, they won the game handily, and you have to wear all oppositions down but it does suggest a certain lack of oomph. 

Who scores for England? Bar chart showing who scores for England.  Savala, the kicker, is way in the lead with 15 point-scoring moments.  He is followed by Dom Young on 4, then Farnworth on 3. 

Savala being the player who has the most point-scoring moments makes sense, because he's the kicker. Dom Young being in second place shows that giving him the ball is a good idea. Let Dom Young do the thing he's best at. 

The France game really skews the "which players are on the pitch when England score?" line chart over time, but you can see which players England use as impact subs. Line chart of which players are on the pitch when England score.  The number of tries England scored against France have moved this around.  Lewis and Welsby are being used as impact subs. 

Which players are on the pitch the most when England score? Bar chart of players present when England score.  Pearce-Paul, Savala, Smith, Young, Brimson are present for all 31 point-scoring moments.  Eckersley, ONeill and Havard are present for the least with 4. 

Pearce-Paul, Savala, Smith, Young and Brimson are obviously McDermott's chosen core, with Ashton having taken over from Eckersley on the wing. Not sure why he didn't play Havard against France, but England do have sufficient forwards that it's not that weird. 

The who plays together when England score matrix graph also shows pattern. Matrix chart of which players are on the pitch together when England score.  The central purple section is smaller than it was after the Tongan game, and now only includes Pearce-Paul, Savala, Smith, Young and Brimson.  The next darkest section has Ashton, Litten and Walters.  The rest is a bit of a muddle, described below, until you hit the palest section, those who played together least often, which is Eckersley, ONeill and Havard. Because there were a number of changes in the squad between the two games, and because there were far more point-scoring moments in the game against France, the matrix has developed an interesting shape. 

Eckersley, O'Neill and Havard are consigned to the pale, not-often-on-the-pitch-together-when-England-score section. 

There's a shade of darker yellows to mid orange, these are the players that played more of a role in one game or the other (skewed, as I said, by more point-scoring moments in the France game) - they are Welsby, Lewis, Radley, Williams, Thompson, King. 

Radley, although he's in the middle of this group is the darkest orange line, possibly because he played quite a bit in both games, while Welsby and Lewis didn't play in the Tonga game. 

Then we have the next darkest section, a tomato ketchup red, with Ashton, Litten and Walters. Ashton only played in the France game, Litten played in both but only 20 minutes of the Tonga game, but Walters played in both. 

The darkest section, a deep red wine sort of colour, is those players who played large parts in both matches. They are Pearce-Paul, Savala, Smith, Young and Brimson, who seem to be McDermott's core group, plus whichever other winger he picks and a hooker. 

That's also reflected in the network graph, which there are now enough data points for: Network graph of England players who play together often when England score.  Pearce-Paul, Savala, Smith, Young and Brimson are in the centre.  Farnworth and Nsemba almost join them.  Williams is further out, as are Thompson, King, Lewis, Welsby, Litten, Ashton, Walters and Radley. 

I didn't expect Williams to be that far out, given he's captain and played in both matches. 

England's hopes rest on the Tonga vs Samoa game which was always one of my picks for most interesting match of the group stage.

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