Thursday, 13 August 2015

About the Dark Lord Armstrong

I did not come easily to liking Darth Lance.  He rode with the wrong team, against my beloved Telekom team.  And he used to beat my beloved Telekom boys.  And I felt that he got more UK coverage than someone else doing just as well, purely because he was an Anglophone.  So, rider riding for the wrong team, riding for the strongest team, and a rider that I didn't particularly like for any other reason.

Now you'll notice that I didn't mention his doping or lack thereof.  That's mostly because Richard Virenque was my first cycling love and I never really stopped loving him, so I couldn't really claim any moral high-ground on the doping front when it came to my favourites*.  Either Armstrong was clean, in which case he was incredible, or he wasn't, in which case he was doing better than everyone else who was also on stuff.  It never made much of a matter to me.

So I couldn't really join in the howls of indignation when d'affaire Armstrong happened.  And I'd like to point out that he still has never failed a test, he only got caught because half his lieutenants failed tests and because they then 'fessed up about exactly how systematic doping was in the US Postal/Discovery team.

Then after he got thoroughly stricken from the record, I found myself feeling really awkward because I agreed with Armstrong.  Why was he the only one stricken, when pretty much every other winner around him was also caught doping?  Okay, so Bjarne Riis confessed, so maybe he's allowed to keep it for honesty (and, in the ASO's defence, they want to strike him too but the UCI is not letting them), but my darling Jan wasn't exactly clean (and has also admitted it) so why is he not being struck.  And this is not me picking on people, I love Ullrich like crazy because he's one of my beloved Telekom boys.

It just strikes me that only removing Armstrong from the record is unfair, since he was by no means the only winner to be on something, illogical, because see previous point, and it hides quite how systematic and complete the doping problem was (is?) in cycling.

*my other one, true and undying cycling love is Alexandre Vinokourov.  I don't half pick 'em.

Saturday, 1 August 2015

World Cup 2018 Qualifying Groups (Which May Shade Into A Rant In Parts)

After much drawing of rabbits balls out of hats, we have the European qualifying groups for the 2018 World Cup.  They are:

Group AGroup BGroup CGroup DGroup EGroup FGroup GGroup HGroup I
NetherlandsPortugalGermanyWalesRomaniaEnglandSpainBelgiumCroatia
FranceSwitzerlandCzech RepublicAustriaDenmarkSlovakiaItalyBosnia-HerzegovinaIceland
SwedenHungaryNorthern IrelandSerbiaPolandScotlandAlbaniaGreeceUkraine
BulgariaFaroe IslandsNorwayRepublic of IrelandMontenegroSloveniaIsraelEstoniaTurkey
BelarusLatviaAzerbaijanMoldovaArmeniaLithuaniaMacedoniaCyprusFinland
LuxembourgAndorraSan MarinoGeorgiaKazakhstanMaltaLiechtenstein


Gibraltar are only a UEFA member, not a full FIFA member, which is why they're not on here, and Russia have pre-qualified as hosts (I think).  Some of the group members are sick of each other, with several being in the same Euro 2016 qualifying groups.  I think that's a side-effect of the potting process.

I understand why they do that, to help mix everything up a bit in these things, but there's some thing very fishy about the most recent group drawing rule change, making the "big" teams play in the six-member groups, because the TV companies want more of the "big" teams, even though they might not be pot 1 standard.  Because that's fair!

I don't mind when FIFA/UEFA do things like not drawing Spain and Gibraltar together or Armenia and Azerbaijan because of political tensions, because, first do no harm makes sense on these occasions, but TV ratings are not a good reason for doing this.

If you do it straight out of the FIFA rankings, you get:

Group AGroup BGroup CGroup DGroup EGroup FGroup GGroup HGroup I
GermanyBelgiumNetherlandsPortugalRomaniaEnglandWalesSpainCroatia
Bosnia and HerzegovinaDenmarkIcelandFranceCzech RepublicSwitzerlandItalyAustriaSlovakia
UkraineScotlandPolandHungarySwedenAlbaniaNorthern IrelandSerbiaGreece
EstoniaMontenegroFaroe IslandsBulgariaNorwayRepublic of IrelandIsraelSloveniaTurkey
CyprusLatviaArmeniaFinlandBelarusMacedoniaAzerbaijanLithuaniaMoldova


AndorraSan MarinoMaltaGeorgiaLiechtensteinLuxembourgKazakhstan

Okay, so it means that Germany and Belgium don't get to play as much which they'd probably complain about, and Austria's draw sucks something awful, but the groups do seem more even.  I can also see an argument that this kind of rigidly ranking-based draw would make rank mobility less likely.  So you could do it the way the draws used to be done, where top 8 are pot 1, next 8 are pot 2 and so one, but do it clean and not let the TV companies interfere.

Sunday, 26 July 2015

Hungarian Grand Prix

For all that it's done terrible things to my numbers, go Seb!

Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Lewis Hamilton2/5Lewis Hamilton1/4Lewis Hamilton1/4
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10
Season Total £1 bets-£2.97Season Total £1 bets£2.60Season Total £1 bets£4.75
Season Total £10 bets-£29.67Season Total £10 bets£23.95Season Total £10 bets£54.57

Thursday, 23 July 2015

In Which The BBC Miss A Few Things About Chris Froome

So the BBC posted a 'Why do the British not love Chris Froome?' article, and seemed to miss every single important point.

They seem to think that it's because he's not Bradley Wiggins.  Because everyone loved Wiggins (which isn't true either but never mind).

The article said that people were being hypocritical because Wiggins is a foreign-born half-Aussie, and it's like, nah, because you see Wiggins never cycled under any other flag while I remember Froome as a Kenyan.  I've got no issue with people changing nationality or being dual nationals (because that would be a bit pot, kettle, black) but it does affect how some people see sportspeople.

The other problems are really not Froome's fault at all:

1) Cycling has an image problem.  Cyclists are presumed guilty.  Is it fair?  No.  Is it reasonable given the last twenty years of cycling?  Yes.  That general cloud of suspicion envelops Froome because he's one of the best cyclists at the moment.

2) Team Sky are the big team.  They have money, technology and buy the best members from other teams.  They are the over-dog and Froome is part of this.  It is very hard to cheer for the over-dog if you are not already invested, and most casual cycling fans aren't.

3) He's not the first Brit to do this.  It's not fair, but first gets a lot more praise.

4) He never seems to have an off-day.  Everyone else has a stage where they crack and have to be dragged up the hill by their team-mates.  Froome doesn't.  Which increases suspicions because you know who else never had off-days?  He who they try to pretend never happened.

5) He doesn't seem to suffer or to have to try.  I think this one really isn't his fault, he just has one of those faces that doesn't reveal much.  Contrast this with say Thomas Voeckler, who, we all know when he's trying because the tongue appears, or Cadel Evans, whose whole body bent into peculiar shapes when he was trying.  It makes it harder to empathize.

6) The unfortunate incident of the TUE (therapeutic usage exemption) (details here).  No actual wrong-doing occurred, but when you're in a sport with a known drug problem, even innocent usage of corticosteroids is going to get looked at funny.  And I have no idea why the BBC article doesn't mention this.  Or rather I do, because the article is a Froome/Sky puff piece, but that TUE is one of the reasons people feel uneasy about Froome, and to omit mention of it entirely is to make the article pointless.

Personally, I think Froome is as clean as everyone else in the peleton, and I prefer him to Wiggins but that BBC article missed a lot of the why of why people aren't going ga-ga over him.

Wednesday, 8 July 2015

British Grand Prix

Which I'm going to be able to watch live on TV for once.

Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Nico Rosberg7/4Lewis Hamilton2/5Lewis Hamilton2/5
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.40Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.40
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£14Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£14
Season Total £1 bets-£3.97Season Total £1 bets£3.60Season Total £1 bets£5.75
Season Total £10 bets-£39.67Season Total £10 bets£33.95Season Total £10 bets£54.57

Monday, 22 June 2015

Austrian Grand Prix



Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Sebastian Vettel20/1Sebastian Vettel5/1Lewis Hamilton4/9
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10
Season Total £1 bets-£2.97Season Total £1 bets£2.20Season Total £1 bets£4.35
Season Total £10 bets-£29.67Season Total £10 bets£19.95Season Total £10 bets£41.57

Wednesday, 10 June 2015

Canadian Grand Prix

Time for my favourite grand prix of the year.

Fastest Friday  PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Lewis Hamilton1/2Nico Rosberg4/1Lewis Hamilton1/3
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.50Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£1.33
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£15Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£13.33
Season Total £1 bets-£1.97Season Total £1 bets£3.20Season Total £1 bets£5.35
Season Total £10 bets-£19.67Season Total £10 bets£29.95Season Total £10 bets£51.57

Saturday, 30 May 2015

Monaco Grand Prix

Fastest Friday Thursday PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Lewis Hamilton17/20Sebastian Vettel11/1Lewis Hamilton2/7
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10
Season Total £1 bets-£3.47Season Total £1 bets£4.20Season Total £1 bets£4.02
Season Total £10 bets-£34.67Season Total £10 bets£39.95Season Total £10 bets£38.24


I'm pleased that even utterly inexplicable decisions by Mercedes don't throw this off too much.

Tuesday, 12 May 2015

Spanish Grand Prix

Fastest Friday PracticePriceFastest Saturday PracticePriceFastest QualifyingPrice
Lewis Hamilton4/9Nico RosbergEvensNico RosbergEvens
Amount won/lost on a £1 bet-£1Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£2Amount won/lost on a £1 bet£2
Amount won/lost on a £10 bet-£10Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£20Amount won/lost on a £10 bet£20
Season Total £1 bets-£2.47Season Total £1 bets£5.20Season Total £1 bets£5.02
Season Total £10 bets-£24.67Season Total £10 bets£49.95Season Total £10 bets£48.24


Saturday, 2 May 2015

Film Locations

Following on from my post about where the book's I've read are set, I decided to look at where the films I've seen are set, not least of all because I'm far better watched than read.

First things first, this is only a collection up to January 2013 (I'm going through them slowly).
The thing I notice is that the films I watch are set in a greater variety of places:

I wonder if that's because book writers tend to write where they know, or if it's because I have a fondness for country house mysteries. However, for the UK-based films, there's still not much variety: