Sunday 8 September 2024

Saints Ahoy - Visualisations from game 12 and the season to date

Game 12 was Saints vs Hull KR, at round about the point in the season where: 
1) It became obvious that this season, Hull KR are good. 
2) Saints, not have a good year 
3) The referees have decided to card Saints players for breathing this year (mild exaggeration, but several things Saints players have been carded for, players from other teams have not) 

Match report here - https://www.saintsrlfc.com/matches/2024/first-team/hull-kr-v-saints-2024-05-04/?swcfpc=1 Saints lost, and had a player sin-binned (Matty Lees, about which, more later).  In short, woe! 

Also woe! Makinson is leaving at the end of the year (https://x.com/Saints1890/status/1792110445903642738). Now, we have had a good run from him, and I begrudge no one who puts their body on the line the chance of a ginormous lower tax-rate pay off from Catalan Dragons. On the other hand, I don't want to lose him!!!! 

For Game 12: 

The final score was 40-20 to Hull KR.  Only 2 out of Saints's four tries were converted, as seen in the diagram below. Bar chart of who scored for Saints in game 12.  Welsby and Blake scored one try each, Hurrell two tries.  Percival who was on kicking duties only scored two sets of points, meaning two tries were unconverted. Adding an extra 4 points wouldn't have won Saints the game, but it wouldn't have hurt. 

12 of 13 players are on the diagram for playing together when Saints conceded in game 12. Network graph of which players play together when Saints conceded in game 12.  Matty Lees is not present. Matty Lees is the starting player who is not present, but that's more because he had 10 minutes in the sin bin for a yellow card, which undoubtedly didn't help the defence. 

That leads us to the diagrams for the season to date: 

In game 12, Hull KR had the most point-scoring moments of any team Saints have played so far: Bar chart of which teams had the most point-scoring moments against Saints.  Hull KR had the most with 13.  Diagram does not include the teams that scored 0 against Saints. Who scores for Saints?: Bar chart showing who has had the most point-scoring moments for Saints.  Percival has had the most.  6 players (Sironen, Mbye, Matautia, Knowles, Bell and Batchelor) have had one. 

As expected, Percival who does the kicking (when he's on the pitch) has still had the most point-scoring moments. 

When do Saints score?: Bar chart of when Saints score coloured in by scorer.  There is a three point-high purple line at minute 52, which is Percival converting the tries scored in minute 51. 

Game 12 was Tee Ritson's first game (not sure if injured or out of favour), which is why he is at the bottom of the "number of point-scoring moments Saints players are present for, up to game 12" bar chart. Bar chart of which players are present when Saints score.  Lomax and Welsby are still ever present for all 83 of Saints points.  They are followed by Whitley.  Tee Ritson is present for the least, less than Walmsley and Davies who have both been injured. The matrix of players present when Saints score looks like this: Matrix is now a shifted cross, like the Norwegian flag.  The darkest colours, for present together most often, is in the top left hand corner, then there is a pale cross for the players rarely present, then the medium often present players in various shades of orange. Clark, Dodd and Sironen are present more often than expected alongside Welsby and Lomax when Saints score. 

The network graph also reflects the players who have been injured, with Walmsley and Davies sticking out at the edge of the figure. Network graph.  Walmsley is sticking out at the top of the diagram, with Davies sticking out top right ish.  Wingfield is also sticking out on the left, but has been injured so long that I suspect he may fall off the diagram soon. Interestingly, there's starting to be a pattern to when Saints concede, with minute 71 and 11 standing out. Coloured bar chart of when Saints concede, coloured in by who scored against them.  Minute 71 stands out because teams have scored 4 times against Saints then.  Minute 11 is the next highest with 3 different teams scoring against Saints then. Because they're ever presents, Lomax and Welsby are both at the top of the "how many point-conceding moments have Saints players been present for" bar chart. Bar chart showing who is present when Saints concede.  Welsby and Lomax have been present for all 49 point-conceding moments, followed by Dodd on 43.  Least present are Ritson, Lees and Wingfield.  Ritson and Wingfield have not been playing, and Lees is a mixture of minutes not-played due to injury and being carded. Ritson and Wingfield haven't been playing, and Lees is a mixture of minutes not-played due to injury and being carded. 

The "who are present together when Saints concede" matrix diagram is a different shape to the present-together-when-scoring equivalent, with the together least often group in the top left corner, then the most often together group in the middle (although that's been shifted up and to the left), then the intermediate ones taking up half the diagram. Matrix diagram of who is together most often when Saints concede.  The palest together least often group are in the top left corner, then the most often together darkest group in the middle (although it has been shifted up and to the left), then the intermediate ones taking up half the diagram. The present together when Saints concede diagram is also developing. This network graph looks like a 5 pointed star, with the points (players who are present less) being Wingfield, Mbye, Lees, Ritson and Walmsley.

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