Thursday 27 October 2022

Rugby League World Cup Data Visualisation Project - England point-scoring moments after 2 games

After the second game, when do England score their points?

When-England-score-points-after-the-2nd-game 

The points are reasonably spread through time - the most interesting thing is probably that this is two matches in a row where England have scored in the fifth minute, which suggests that Wane's philosophy may well be hit 'em hard, early. 

If we look at who scored the points, England-scoring-moments-per-player-after-2-games Tommy Makinson still tops the scoring-moments chart, even though he didn't play the second game. As a rugby league fan, it feels very odd saying an England game vs France was harder, with fewer scoring opportunities, than a game against Samoa. 

If we look at who scored when, England-Points-Scoring-Moments-by-Time-and-Player-After-2-matches Yes, that is Ryan Hall in the top 6 points scores despite only playing one game. Because if England give him the ball he will score. If only Wayne Bennett had remembered that during the last World Cup.

Number of point-scoring moments England players have been on the pitch for: Number-of-Scoring-Moments-Players-Were-On-The-Pitch-For-After-2-Matches Four players have been on the pitch for all of England's points - Herbie Farnworth, George Williams, Elliott Whitehead and Dominic Young. 

Other than enjoying pulling L's tail about George Williams coming up good, one of those four players is not like the others. 

Elliott Whitehead is a second rower who has now played two 80 minute matches back to back. Given how much of the noise before the tournament was about his age, I think large meals of humble pie are required for many people. 

The network diagram and matrix figures have changed, but I think the major differences reflect the personnel changes between the two matches (Ackers, Oledzki, Bateman, Sneyd and Hall in, Makinson, McMeeken, Knowles, Lees and Cooper out) rather than either set of players being better or worse at creating chances. 
  Player-Network-Diagram-After-2-Games Player-Matrix-after-2nd-Game I've also now got some more info on when the opposition have scored. It's not as well formed as the scoring information so I'm only going to share one picture at the moment. When-the-opposition-teams-score-after-2-minutes The main thing I take away from this is that England concede in the last 10 minutes of the first half. 

Now, due to Samoa's implosion, that wasn't a problem against them, and again England had a decent head start against France, but later on in the tournament, that could really come back to bite them in the bum. The teams England are most likely to face in the quarter and semifinals are both momentum teams and a score then will really give them heart and might well give them the extra oomph to score another before halftime. 

What Australia might do in that situation ... it's too horrible to contemplate. 

The match against Greece is unlikely to provide final proof either way on this one, but if Greece do score in those last 10 minutes of the first half, then I think that'll prove the pattern and demonstrate a really weakness that can be exploited by England's opponents.

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