Tuesday 13 August 2024

Saints Ahoy - Visualisations from game 9 (Challenge Cup Quarterfinal)

Because I ended up a bit behind making these, I knew that adding the Challenge Cup to the visualisations wouldn't make a huge difference, because Saints only played two games, and lost to Warrington in the quarterfinal. 

Losing to Warrington in the Challenge Cup is less humiliating than losing to them in the league, but that doesn't make it okay. (Match reports here (https://www.saintsrlfc.com/2024/04/14/saints-beaten-in-challenge-cup-quarter-finals/) or here (https://www.theguardian.com/sport/2024/apr/14/warringtons-second-half-onslaught-knocks-st-helens-out-of-challenge-cup). Possibly L needs to be nicer about George Williams.) 

Saints conceded enough that there was actually a network graph for players present when they concede. Dodd, Matautia and Makinson are in the middle, with (clockwise from 12) Whitley, Batchelor, Hurrell, Blake, Delaney, Lomax, Welsby, Walmsley and Bennison. Which suggests only bad things about the number of times Warrington scored.

Who scores for Saints? (up to game 9)Percival is still in the lead, with 11 scoring moments.  Then Lomax with 9, and Makinson with 6. Percival has still scored the most, followed by Lomax and Makinson.

Who is present when Saints score?Welsby and Lomax are the only ever presents, Whitley has now missed one.  Davies, Batchelor and Mbye have been present for the least. Whitley has now missed one point-scoring moment but he's still in the deepest purple section of the who plays together when Saints score matrix. Whitley is still in the purple section with Lomax and Welsby.  The next most commonly together are Dodd, Makinson and Clark in red. After the Whitley, Lomax and Welsby group, the next most commonly together are Dodd, Makinson and Clark in red. 
The ones that are less frequently together than you might expect are:
Sironen and Whitley 
Bennison, Delaney and Walmsley (Bennison is together with Welsby and Lomax more often than expected) 
Clark is together less often than expected with Bell 
Wingfield and Percival 
Whitley, Delaney and Batchelor Hurrell and Clark (although Hurrell's together with Delaney more than you might expect) 
Blake and Mata'utia (Blake is together more than you'd expect with Bell) 

Mata'utia is where the figure really splits between the frequently play together and less so. I think Percival is in that group because of his suspension. 

The "who is present when Saints score" network graph now looks spectacularly weird.  Those perpendicular lines really stand out against the other diagonal lines.   The thing that makes this graph look weird is it now looks like a square is being drawn, with a straight line between Walmsley and Batchelor (from left corner to right corner), and another straight line between Batchelor and Mbye.  The straight lines stand out from the diagonals that make up the rest of diagram. Lomax, Welsby and Makinson are the central core. The surrounding players are Clark, Dodd, Mata'utia, Hurrell, Blake, Bennison, Whitley and Sironen. Percival forms the link between that central group and the outer group (again I think that's because of his suspension) who are, clockwise from Percival, Walmsley, Lees, Batchelor, Mbye, Wingfield, Bell, Delaney and Knowles. 

In the Challenge Cup quarterfinal, Warrington had the most point-scoring moments of any team who have played against Saints so far. Warrington in the Challenge Cup had the most point-scoring moments against Saints with 11 

As to when Saints concede there is starting to be a pattern of conceding the last 20 minutes of the game. Coloured-in bar chart. Ignore the colours for the moment.  There are three point-scoring moments in the first 20 minutes, 9 in the next 20, 5 in minute 41-60 then 14 in the last 20 minutes. 
I'm presuming this is as the team gets tired out. 

Who is present when Saints concede? Welsby and Lomax have also been present for all the times Saints have conceded.  Bennison, in third place, is a lot higher in this diagram than in the when Saints score diagram.  Mbye, Percival and Lees are present for the least concessions. Combining the info from the last graph and this, I think Percival is so low down because when he plays, Saints tend to take him off around minute 50, so before the high concession time begins. 

The matrix diagram shows that Whitley is present for fewer point-conceding moments than you'd expect. The central purple of the most frequently together has Welsby, Lomax, Makinson, Bennison and Dodd, Whitley is within the central portion but a paler red. There are now 17 players in the network graph for when Saints concede. Welsby and Bennison are the central players, surrounded by a core of (clockwise from 12) Dodd, Whitley, Lomax, Hurrell, Makinson, Delaney and Blake.  They are surrounded by Clark, Sironen, Bell, Knowles, Matautia, Walmsley and Batchelor.  Wingfield sticks out at the top, sort of North by North East. 
I think Wingfield is sticking out up there because he's been out injured so long.

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