Thursday 20 November 2014

The Double Points Nonsense

I think the title might give away what I think of having double points for the last race.  I think it distorts the competition excessively.

To prove this, I thought I'd look to see what would have happened in previous years if this points system had been in place.  I've only looked at the years where the present 25, 18, ... points system has been in place but I might look at earlier years later on.  Mostly in the hope that it might mean there's an alternate universe where Felipe Massa has a World Drivers Title.

2013:

Going into the last race, which was the Brazilian GP in 2013, Sebastian Vettel already had an unassailable lead, as did Red Bull.  So no change.

2012:

Before the last race of the season, Brazil again, Vettel led the points standings by 13 points from Fernando Alonso, and more than the 50 points max from everyone else.  Red Bull were 73 points ahead of Ferrari in the constructor's title, and more than the 86 points max from everyone else.

Alonso finished 2nd in the race, which would have netted him 36 points with the double points system, while Vettel finished 6th (8 points).  This is enough for Alonso to overhaul Vettel and win the championship.

The Ferraris finished 2nd and 3rd while the Red Bulls finished 4th and 6th.  Red Bull have enough of an advantage to win the constructor's title.

New result: Fernando Alonso is the winner of the 2012 World Drivers Title, winning his 3rd World title.

2011:

Going into the last race, which was the Brazilian GP in 2011, Sebastian Vettel already had an unassailable lead, as did Red Bull.  So no change.

2010:

Alonso goes into the last race (Abu Dhabi) with an eight point lead over Webber, 15 over Vettel, 24 over Hamilton and 47 over Button.  Vettel still wins the Driver's World Championship.

Red Bull go into the last race with a 48 point lead over McLaren and 80 over Ferrari.  Red Bull still win the World Drivers Championship.  Amazingly, no change.

Contrary to my expectations, the double points thing didn't make that much of a difference to most of the result.  I still think it's a bad idea but apparently good will out.

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