Monday, 14 July 2025

Euro 2025 - Quarterfinal network diagrams

The group stage diagrams and predictions based on them can be found here - https://fulltimesportsfan.wordpress.com/2025/06/29/euro-2025-group-stage-network-diagrams/

How did the group stage predictions go? 

From group A, I predicted Norway and Switzerland would qualify for the quarterfinals, and I was right, even if it involved extra time goals in the decider. 

Group B, I predicted Spain and AN other, which I am aware is a bit of a "the sky is blue" sort of prediction. 

Group C, I predicted Germany and Sweden 

Group D, I predicted Netherlands and one of England and France, which was oh so wrong. 

Out of 8, I am willing to call that about equivalent to 5/8. 

With that in mind, here are the quarterfinal network diagrams 

Unlabelled: Network diagram of the 8 remaining teams. The remaining national teams are the large red circles. Four line up across the middle horizontally. Two are above this line in the top left, in a 45 degree diagonal line from each other. The remaining two are below that line at a much more acute angle to each other. The other circles are the club teams. It is noticeable that some club teams have lots of representatives left because their circles are relatively large and orange. Labelled: Same diagram as previous but with the teams labelled. The four teams across the middle horizontally are, from left to right, Germany, Sweden, Norway and France. The two above the horizontal line are, going from nearest to middle to furthest, are Switzerland and Italy. The two below the line, going nearest to furthest are England and Spain. The club teams with noticeably large circles are Juventus, Bayern Munich, Arsenal, Chelsea and Barcelona. 

In the communities view, each nation is its own separate colour. The unlabelled view, this time coloured in by community. The four nations along the middle are olive yellow, mid-green, bright blue and a darker more purply blue, respectively. Above the horizontal are a team in brown and a team in bright green. Below the horizontal, the two teams are orange and pink. Labelled version of the community diagram. The four teams across the middle horizontally are, from left to right, Germany (olive yellow), Sweden (mid-green), Norway (bright blue) and France (darker blue). The two above the horizontal line are, going from nearest to middle to furthest, are Switzerland (brown) and Italy (bright blue). The two below the line, going nearest to furthest are England (pink) and Spain (orange). The club teams with noticeably large circles are Juventus (bright green), Bayern Munich (olive yellow), Arsenal (pink), Chelsea (pink) and Barcelona (orange). Sweden are the national team closest to the centre (just, vs. Norway). 

Either Lyon or Bayern Munich are the club team closest to the centre. 

Barcelona are the team with the most representatives left in with 14, then comes Bayern Munich and Juventus with 13 then Chelsea with 12. 

Predictions for the quarterfinals: 

These are quite difficult because Italy and Spain are pulled out by how many of their players play for Juventus and Barcelona respectively, while Bayern Munich, and the players that play for them, are pulling together Sweden and Germany, and Arsenal and Chelsea are holding together England, Sweden and Norway. 

Sweden vs England - Diagram says Sweden 

Norway vs Italy - Diagram says Norway, plus every single women's football pundit keeps bewailing how often Italy somehow manage to screw up. On the other hand, Norway trip over their own feet also. 

France vs Germany - Diagram says Germany just. Football fan says "ooooh". 

Spain vs Switzerland - Remember how I said Barcelona pulled Spain out of the diagram. This really reflects that. Switzerland are far closer to the centre. On the other hand, there is no way I can see Switzerland beating this Spanish team.
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